Project D1-1: Modeling present and future values for sustainable water management blueprint indicators

 

Roy Haggerty, PhD

Oregon State University
College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences,

D1-1 U-envision graphic

This project provides insight into how different urban water management strategies may mitigate risks and create resilience to pressures from climate and socioeconomic change. It is developing a tool for modeling future conditions of urban water systems, and regionally pilot the use of urban water sustainability indicators to measure the vulnerability, reliability and resiliency of current and future water management strategies and technological innovations. The project is working with regional stakeholders from the Willamette Valley, Oregon to identify realistic assumptions for futures scenarios and identify regionally-relevant water management solutions.

A key element of the project is its multiscale, stakeholder driven approach. We are working with a regionally representative stakeholder group to depict neighborhood (~150 ha.) and watershed (~4000 ha.) expressions of three alternative futures scenarios, and are using those depictions to model urban water sustainability indicators appropriate for those scales. We are pairing neighborhood and watershed-scale indicators with basin-scale (~3,000,000 ha) indicators that assess regional pressures and trends that also affect water supply and demand.

MAPS & DATA PRODUCTS

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Multiscale Scenario Narratives for 2060 Urban Water Management, Willamette River Basin.  Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Land Use Land Cover for 2010 and 2060 Alternative Futures, Chicken Creek Watershed near Sherwood, Oregon (10m rasters). Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Neighborhood Site Plans for 2010 and 2060 Alternative Futures Scenarios, West Sherwood Neighborhood, near Sherwood, Oregon. (polygon shapefiles). Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

DATA INPUTS

  • Regionally downscaled climate projections
  • Population projections
  • Geospatial land, water, and demographic data
  • Pipe networks for the cities of Portland and Eugene

DATA OUTPUTS

Data outputs include map-based visualizations and indicator-based metrics that highlight potential tradeoffs between different urban water management approaches.

 

U-Envision Model

The project is developing U-envision, a tool to visualize and explore tradeoffs between different urban water management strategies and responses to the 21stcentury challenges of population growth and climate change.

The model builds on Willamette Envision, a whole watershed model that represents natural and human influences on water supply, demand and hydrology. Envision has been widely used to conduct model based scenario assessments incorporating both biophysical and sociocultural dimensions of landscape change.

As part of this project, researchers will increase the resolution of municipal scale modeling for an urbanizing watershed near Portland Oregon, while maintaining the perspective of a whole watershed model.

 

Publications

Santelmann, M. Hulse D, Wright M, Enright C, Branscomb A, Tchintcharauli-Harrison M  2019  Innovation in Urban Water Systems. In: International GeoDesign Collaborative; C. Steinitz and Brian Rowland Eds. ESRI Press.

 

Maps & Data

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Multiscale Scenario Narratives for 2060 Urban Water Management, Willamette River Basin.  Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Land Use Land Cover for 2010 and 2060 Alternative Futures, Chicken Creek Watershed near Sherwood, Oregon (10m rasters). Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

Hulse, D., Enright, C., Branscomb, A., Santelmann, M., Wright, M. 2018. Neighborhood Site Plans for 2010 and 2060 Alternative Futures Scenarios, West Sherwood Neighborhood, near Sherwood, Oregon. (polygon shapefiles). Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon.

 

Related Materials

 

Updated 3/5/2019

 

Haggerty_Roy_ProfileRoy Haggerty, PhD – Principal Investigator

Associate Vice President for Research and Hollis M. Dole Professor of Environmental Geology
College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences
Oregon State University
Voice: (541) 737-0663
Email: haggerty@oregonstate.edu

Dr. Haggerty has been dean of the College of Science since 2017 and a faculty member at OSU for more than 20 years. An exceptional scholar and earth scientist, Haggerty’s research in hydrology and geology has been applied to nuclear waste disposal problems in the United States and Sweden, to groundwater contamination, and to transport of nutrients, carbon and heat in streams. While on sabbatical in Spain, Haggerty and colleagues developed a smart tracer for quantifying metabolism in streams. His research has been supported by more than $9 million in grants and contracts from the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy, the Environmental Protection Agency, the USDA Forest Service and other U.S. and international organizations, resulting in more than 65 peer-reviewed publications. His highly cited 1995 paper on mass transfer of solutes in groundwater, co-authored by his thesis advisor, Steve Gorelick, was recognized by the International Association of Hydrological Sciences as one of the all-time “benchmark” papers in groundwater, a body of work that extends from Henry Darcy’s foundational publication in 1856 to the present day.

 

David Hulse, Philip H. Knight Professor

Director FIBER
University of Florida, College of Design, Construction and Planning
Email: dhulse@uoregon.edu
 

Mary Santelmann, Associate Professor

College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences and Director, Water Resources Graduate Program
Oregon State University
Email: Mary.Santelmann@oregonstate.edu

 

Allan Branscomb

Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon
Email: allanb@uoregon.edu
 

David Conklin

Oregon Freshwater Simulations
Email: david.conklin@FreshwaterSim.com
 

Chris Enright

University of Oregon, Institute for a Sustainable Environment
Email: cenright@uoregon.edu
 

Maria Wright

Oregon State University, Institute for Water and Watersheds,
Email: maria.wright@oregonstate.edu

 

Students:

Michael Harrison, Ph.D. student

Oregon State University, Water Resources Science
Email: harrimic@oregonstate.ed
 

Michelle Talal, Ph.D. student

Oregon State University, Environmental Sciences
Email: talalm@oregonstate.edu

 

Hattie Greydanus, Undergraduate student

Calvin College, Engineering
Email: hlg4@students.calvin.edu
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