Project D1-1: Modeling present and future values for sustainable water management blueprint indicators


Roy Haggerty, PhD

Oregon State University
College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences,

D1-1 U-envision graphicThis project will provide insight into how different urban water management strategies may mitigate risks and create resilience to pressures from climate and socioeconomic change.  It will develop a tool for modeling future conditions of urban water systems, and regionally pilot the use of urban water sustainability indicators (developed by project D1-2) to measure the vulnerability, reliability and resiliency of current and future water management strategies and technological innovations.  The project will work with regional stakeholders from the Willamette Valley, Oregon to identify realistic assumptions for futures scenarios and identify regionally-relevant water management solutions.

This project is intertwined with D1-2 which assesses tradeoffs associated with sustainable urban water solutions under climatic, land use, population, economic development, planning, and policy uncertainty.   A decision innovation dashboard is being developed under Thrust D activities that tracks and rates options for both top-down and bottom-up optimization of urban water systems via stakeholder engagement.


  • Regionally downscaled climate projections
  • Population projections
  • Geospatial land, water, and demographic data
  • Pipe networks for the cities of Portland and Eugene



Data outputs include map-based visualizations and indicator-based metrics that highlight potential tradeoffs between different urban water management approaches.


The project will develop transferable modeling and stakeholder engagement approaches, a set of future scenarios for the Willamette River Basin in Oregon, and model outputs representing landscape dynamics and water innovation impacts under alternative future scenarios.

U-Envision Model

The project is developing U-envision, a tool to visualize and explore tradeoffs between different urban water management strategies and responses to the 21st century challenges of population growth and climate change.

The model builds on Willamette Envision, a whole watershed model that represents natural and human influences on water supply, demand and hydrology.  Envision has been widely used to conduct model based scenario assessments incorporating both biophysical and sociocultural dimensions of landscape change.

As part of this project, researchers will increase the resolution of municipal scale modeling for the cities of Eugene and Portland, while maintaining the perspective of a whole watershed model.

Related Materials





Haggerty_Roy_ProfileRoy Haggerty, PhD – Principal Investigator

Associate Vice President for Research and Hollis M. Dole Professor of Environmental Geology
College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences
Oregon State University
Voice: (541) 737-0663

Dr. Haggerty has been a faculty member at OSU for nearly 20 years, where he holds the Hollis M. Dole Professorship in Environmental Geology. His hydrology research group studies transport in water. His research has been applied to nuclear waste disposal problems in the US and Sweden, to groundwater contamination, and to transport of nutrients, carbon, and heat in streams. His work has been supported by more than $9 million in grants and contracts from the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy, the Environmental Protection Agency, the USDA Forest Service, and several other organizations in the US and Sweden, resulting in approximately 60 peer-reviewed publications. During a sabbatical in Spain, he and colleagues developed a smart tracer for quantifying metabolism in streams. This and work with colleagues at the USDA Forest service have generated research opportunities in ecohydrology. He is currently the PI for the Willamette Water 2100 project, sponsored by the NSF, which involves about 20 faculty at OSU, the University of Oregon, Portland State University, and UC Santa Barbara who. The “WW2100” project’s goal is to understand how climate change and human activity may affect water scarcity in the Willamette Basin over the 21st century. He and his team also have other projects working on the role of streams in the carbon cycle and on urban water sustainability.

David Hulse, Philip H. Knight Professor

Department of Landscape Architecture and Member, Institute for a Sustainable Environment,
University of Oregon

Mary Santelmann, Associate Professor

College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences and Director, Water Resources Graduate Program
Oregon State University

Allan Branscomb

Institute for a Sustainable Environment, University of Oregon

David Conklin

Oregon Freshwater Simulations

Chris Enright

University of Oregon, Institute for a Sustainable Environment

Brian Fulfrost

Oregon Freshwater Simulations

Maria Wright

Oregon State University, Institute for Water and Watersheds,



Michael Harrison, Ph.D. student

Oregon State University, Water Resources Science
Email: harrimic@oregonstate.ed

Michelle Talal, Ph.D. student

Oregon State University, Environmental Sciences